Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers

Sat 9/12 · 12:10 PM CDT · Comerica Park

THE EDGE

C-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 6 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Ryan Blakney (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Andrew Sears 17.4/8.7 · Tanner Gordon 15.3/4.5

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 8.5 vs 8 typical at Comerica Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 24.3 · away 23.7

CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Andrew Sears 17.4/8.7 · Tanner Gordon 15.3/4.5

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Comerica Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 24.3 · away 23.7

F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -6.2% (n=446) vs 8.8% (n=358) in the favorable branch.

The f5_total line has moved +3 since the grade (anchor 5).

The total line has moved +10 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8.5).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction. Getting in before the line moves is the point.

COL

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

DET

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Colorado Rockies7Detroit Tigers11FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	0	3	1	0	2	0	1	0	7
DET	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	7	—	11

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

no lean First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 8 · LOST

C Under 8.5 runs · landed 18 · LOST

TOTAL · UNDER 8.5 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% under · market 51%

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 53% under · market 53%