Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.45108799056343174,
"p_shipped": 0.5023893138326592,
"model_mu": 3.447534497291966,
"market_p": 0.5116883116883117,
"divergence": -0.06060032112488001,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter strikes out 33.6% of batters, adjusted \u2014 a higher strikeout rate than average",
"share": 0.4849,
"contribution": -0.21893,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2853,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher loses strikes on close pitches",
"share": 0.0848,
"contribution": 0.03827,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cat_framing_prior",
"h_wp_pb30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Retractable roof \u2014 state not known at grade time",
"share": 0.079,
"contribution": 0.03567,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_retract",
"wx_miss",
"wind_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The away team allowing 3.8 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average. Priced in, and it went too far",
"share": 0.04,
"contribution": 0.01807,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.026,
"contribution": -0.01175,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_platoon_miss",
"a_off_k30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.49346845780062365,
"p_shipped": 0.5000275525827873,
"model_mu": 6.851130506627653,
"market_p": 0.5193798449612403,
"divergence": -0.025911387160616695,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3234,
"contribution": 0.16357,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1892,
"contribution": -0.09569,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter strikes out 33.6% of batters, adjusted \u2014 a higher strikeout rate than average",
"share": 0.1715,
"contribution": -0.08674,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1173,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The away team allowing 3.8 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average. Priced in, and it went too far",
"share": 0.1074,
"contribution": 0.05434,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "No wind reading \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0491,
"contribution": -0.02485,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"wind_miss",
"is_retract",
"wx_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.0421,
"contribution": -0.02129,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"a_err30",
"h_unearned30"
]
}
]
}
]