Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4323071643660542,
"p_shipped": 0.4832518693106966,
"model_mu": 3.6208476909579232,
"market_p": 0.49350649350649356,
"divergence": -0.06119932914043935,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter strikes out 30.2% of batters, adjusted \u2014 a higher strikeout rate than average",
"share": 0.5436,
"contribution": -0.39621,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_opener",
"a_sp_mix_drift"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1767,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1296,
"contribution": 0.09449,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0912,
"contribution": 0.06647,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Domed park \u2014 weather is neutralised",
"share": 0.0434,
"contribution": 0.03166,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_dome",
"alt_kft",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0154,
"contribution": -0.01126,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior",
"h_wp_pb30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5161554962614104,
"p_shipped": 0.48327180613716675,
"model_mu": 7.0685437490814,
"market_p": 0.4690721649484536,
"divergence": 0.04708333131295683,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Domed park \u2014 weather is neutralised",
"share": 0.2827,
"contribution": 0.12957,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_dome",
"park_f5_asof",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team striking out less than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2166,
"contribution": 0.09925,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_k30",
"h_off_bb30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.147,
"contribution": -0.06738,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"a_err30",
"h_err30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "No travel at all this week for the home team",
"share": 0.1313,
"contribution": -0.06018,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1295,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0928,
"contribution": 0.04255,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"h_sp_starts_c10"
]
}
]
}
]