Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-11T13:15:30Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.550092260846658,
"p_shipped": 0.4863975973389663,
"model_mu": 4.373349124232142,
"market_p": 0.5012919896640827,
"divergence": 0.04880027118257524,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-11T13:15:30Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2657,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter fades the third time through the order",
"share": 0.2465,
"contribution": 0.11953,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_tto_decay",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team walking more than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2217,
"contribution": 0.10747,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_bb30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 5.4 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average",
"share": 0.1299,
"contribution": 0.06296,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"h_rs30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0949,
"contribution": 0.046,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"temp_out"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0414,
"contribution": 0.02006,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-11T23:00:36Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5645679490005265,
"p_shipped": 0.4813573192044351,
"model_mu": 5.276425753539133,
"market_p": 0.4780361757105944,
"divergence": 0.08653177328993211,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-11T23:00:36Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over",
"share": 0.2761,
"contribution": 0.14041,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_bb30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_platoon_share"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter fades the third time through the order",
"share": 0.2351,
"contribution": 0.11953,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_tto_decay",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.2002,
"contribution": -0.1018,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"a_backup_catcher",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.1648,
"contribution": 0.0838,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"temp_out"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 5.4 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average",
"share": 0.1238,
"contribution": 0.06296,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"h_rs30",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-11T13:15:30Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5949412961926909,
"p_shipped": 0.5060715184255313,
"model_mu": 8.334677500174864,
"market_p": 0.5038560411311055,
"divergence": 0.09108525506158538,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-11T13:15:30Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The away team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.2864,
"contribution": 0.16146,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2429,
"contribution": 0.13694,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_bb30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 5.4 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average",
"share": 0.2102,
"contribution": 0.11851,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"h_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1053,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.0824,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0729,
"contribution": -0.04108,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-11T23:00:36Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5889601723943345,
"p_shipped": 0.5127723060810185,
"model_mu": 8.79615283267548,
"market_p": 0.5167095115681234,
"divergence": 0.07225066082621112,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-11T23:00:36Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2702,
"contribution": 0.16437,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_bb30",
"h_platoon_share"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The away team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.2654,
"contribution": 0.16146,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 5.4 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average",
"share": 0.1948,
"contribution": 0.11851,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"h_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.1933,
"contribution": -0.11758,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_framing_miss",
"a_backup_catcher"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.0763,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
}
]
}
]