Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4851010044378558,
"p_shipped": 0.47832441416997135,
"model_mu": 3.577017530304991,
"market_p": 0.49612403100775193,
"divergence": -0.011023026569896122,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.3355,
"contribution": -0.09022,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3018,
"contribution": 0.08115,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter up 1 mph in his last start",
"share": 0.1384,
"contribution": -0.03721,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"a_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1169,
"contribution": -0.03144,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "How closely this umpire's calls have matched the zone this past year, against the league",
"share": 0.1075,
"contribution": -0.0289,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T19:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4963918947185607,
"p_shipped": 0.46463593373550766,
"model_mu": 4.39504328393423,
"market_p": 0.4780361757105944,
"divergence": 0.018355719007966287,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T19:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3728,
"contribution": 0.08786,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.2133,
"contribution": -0.05027,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"roof_open",
"is_retract"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter up 1 mph in his last start",
"share": 0.1579,
"contribution": -0.03721,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"a_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1334,
"contribution": -0.03144,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "How closely this umpire's calls have matched the zone this past year, against the league",
"share": 0.1226,
"contribution": -0.0289,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5058637169148639,
"p_shipped": 0.5094546822183322,
"model_mu": 6.494434266980799,
"market_p": 0.5244215938303342,
"divergence": -0.018557876915470284,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.4229,
"contribution": -0.27698,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The away team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.2608,
"contribution": 0.17078,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_b2b",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.1816,
"contribution": 0.11894,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"park_f5_asof",
"day_game",
"wind_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.0709,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0639,
"contribution": -0.04182,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T19:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5040186894557757,
"p_shipped": 0.500547483985564,
"model_mu": 7.527818218087582,
"market_p": 0.5218508997429305,
"divergence": -0.01783221028715487,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T19:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.3465,
"contribution": -0.27698,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The away team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.2137,
"contribution": 0.17078,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_b2b",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.2044,
"contribution": 0.16337,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"park_f5_asof",
"day_game",
"is_retract"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No 2025 record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away catcher \u2014 graded at league average",
"share": 0.125,
"contribution": -0.09992,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_framing_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.0581,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0523,
"contribution": -0.04182,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
}
]
}
]