Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-05T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5209767717419402,
"p_shipped": 0.49067650887924213,
"model_mu": 4.002230913367605,
"market_p": 0.49870129870129865,
"divergence": 0.02227547304064159,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-05T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter recently back from injury",
"share": 0.374,
"contribution": 0.08189,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_il_return",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.366,
"contribution": 0.08012,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1184,
"contribution": -0.02593,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate",
"share": 0.1127,
"contribution": -0.02467,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cs30",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "How closely this umpire's calls have matched the zone this past year, against the league",
"share": 0.0289,
"contribution": -0.00633,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T00:30:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5481408214901511,
"p_shipped": 0.5076202217550582,
"model_mu": 4.778299953975627,
"market_p": 0.5129533678756476,
"divergence": 0.03518745361450348,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T00:30:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "push",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter recently back from injury",
"share": 0.3568,
"contribution": 0.08189,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_il_return",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3333,
"contribution": 0.07649,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.113,
"contribution": -0.02593,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate",
"share": 0.1075,
"contribution": -0.02467,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cs30",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Retractable roof \u2014 reported closed before first pitch",
"share": 0.0894,
"contribution": 0.02052,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_retract",
"alt_kft",
"wind_out_comp"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-05T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5205500722433758,
"p_shipped": 0.4895664087988068,
"model_mu": 7.108688581539871,
"market_p": 0.4832041343669251,
"divergence": 0.037345937876450686,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-05T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "push",
"factors": [
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Both teams' bullpens worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.3279,
"contribution": 0.09509,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1866,
"contribution": -0.05412,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1803,
"contribution": -0.05228,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_bb30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.1601,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The away team throws out base stealers",
"share": 0.1452,
"contribution": -0.0421,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_cs30",
"a_wp_pb30",
"h_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T00:30:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5485894622325366,
"p_shipped": 0.5042405206249353,
"model_mu": 8.161305335764302,
"market_p": 0.5038560411311055,
"divergence": 0.04473342110143108,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T00:30:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.3301,
"contribution": 0.12059,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"park_f5_asof",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Both teams' bullpens worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.2603,
"contribution": 0.09509,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1482,
"contribution": -0.05412,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1343,
"contribution": -0.04906,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_bb30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.1271,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
}
]
}
]