Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.49201896692882147,
"p_shipped": 0.4743927021819998,
"model_mu": 3.9594171639923768,
"market_p": 0.4766839378238342,
"divergence": 0.015335029104987241,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter has thrown 132 pitches over 30 days",
"share": 0.3363,
"contribution": 0.16208,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2672,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.7 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.1852,
"contribution": -0.08927,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1378,
"contribution": 0.06641,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Wind blowing in, ~4 mph net",
"share": 0.0535,
"contribution": -0.02581,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"temp_out"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.02,
"contribution": 0.00963,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_platoon_miss",
"h_platoon_miss"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.47147765532062214,
"p_shipped": 0.4984448680949462,
"model_mu": 7.195345175639226,
"market_p": 0.5064599483204134,
"divergence": -0.034982292999791276,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3683,
"contribution": 0.24951,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_tz2",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.7 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.2445,
"contribution": -0.16568,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1371,
"contribution": -0.09291,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_platoon_miss",
"a_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The away team throws out base stealers",
"share": 0.1032,
"contribution": -0.06992,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_cs30",
"a_framing_miss",
"h_framing_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0876,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The home team's bullpen rested the last three days",
"share": 0.0592,
"contribution": -0.0401,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_k_pct30"
]
}
]
}
]