Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5718839470858645,
"p_shipped": 0.5120881160068529,
"model_mu": 4.142642077220858,
"market_p": 0.5167958656330749,
"divergence": 0.05508808145278965,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter recently back from injury",
"share": 0.3143,
"contribution": 0.14957,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_il_return",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2706,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1683,
"contribution": 0.08009,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1482,
"contribution": 0.07054,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0925,
"contribution": 0.04401,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0062,
"contribution": 0.00293,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"temp_out"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-05T00:30:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.6045787390524172,
"p_shipped": 0.5182382916317995,
"model_mu": 4.978335922595091,
"market_p": 0.5142118863049095,
"divergence": 0.09036685274750766,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-05T00:30:59Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter recently back from injury",
"share": 0.4107,
"contribution": 0.14957,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_il_return",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3103,
"contribution": 0.11302,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_platoon_share",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1937,
"contribution": 0.07054,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0707,
"contribution": 0.02574,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.0147,
"contribution": -0.00534,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4776608128893346,
"p_shipped": 0.4838307673909672,
"model_mu": 7.179269137671248,
"market_p": 0.4743589743589744,
"divergence": 0.0033018385303602016,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2388,
"contribution": -0.11108,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_prev_pitches",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over",
"share": 0.2203,
"contribution": 0.10248,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_tz2",
"h_miles7d_k",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2017,
"contribution": -0.09383,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_bb30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.146,
"contribution": -0.06793,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1276,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0655,
"contribution": 0.03049,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_k_pct30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-05T00:30:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4818958194889671,
"p_shipped": 0.4734042286164197,
"model_mu": 8.178791429930401,
"market_p": 0.46923076923076923,
"divergence": 0.012665050258197863,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-05T00:30:59Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2699,
"contribution": -0.11108,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_prev_pitches",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over",
"share": 0.249,
"contribution": 0.10248,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_tz2",
"h_miles7d_k",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.165,
"contribution": -0.06793,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1613,
"contribution": -0.06641,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_bb30",
"a_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.1548,
"contribution": -0.06371,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_framing_miss",
"a_cs30"
]
}
]
}
]