Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.526464365837926,
"p_shipped": 0.5067007864017355,
"model_mu": 3.9365177953775214,
"market_p": 0.5348837209302325,
"divergence": -0.008419355092306513,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.3519,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.2564,
"contribution": 0.09384,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"alt_kft",
"temp_out"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1524,
"contribution": 0.05577,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1263,
"contribution": 0.04621,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"a_cs30",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Both teams allowing fewer runs than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1006,
"contribution": -0.03683,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0125,
"contribution": 0.00456,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_bb30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4308219505119198,
"p_shipped": 0.47841103081249586,
"model_mu": 7.501911212788769,
"market_p": 0.49095607235142114,
"divergence": -0.06013412183950134,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3727,
"contribution": -0.17064,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "The away team deep into a long road trip",
"share": 0.2395,
"contribution": -0.10968,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_trip7"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1296,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0948,
"contribution": 0.04342,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0858,
"contribution": -0.03927,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_bb30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0776,
"contribution": 0.03552,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"park_f5_asof",
"alt_kft",
"roof_open"
]
}
]
}
]