Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.44945368085327575,
"p_shipped": 0.4793344553071464,
"model_mu": 3.8103834904176606,
"market_p": 0.49612403100775193,
"divergence": -0.04667035015447618,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.323,
"contribution": 0.16123,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.258,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2546,
"contribution": -0.1271,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1224,
"contribution": -0.06108,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"wx_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0395,
"contribution": -0.01971,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"h_wp_pb30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter up 1.1 mph in his last start",
"share": 0.0025,
"contribution": -0.00126,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5048668318448316,
"p_shipped": 0.482969557300383,
"model_mu": 5.030220099012753,
"market_p": 0.4896373056994819,
"divergence": 0.015229526145349725,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.4433,
"contribution": 0.17762,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.3172,
"contribution": -0.1271,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.1152,
"contribution": 0.04617,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Wind blowing in, ~9 mph net",
"share": 0.0751,
"contribution": -0.03007,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"wind_out_comp",
"day_game",
"roof_open"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0492,
"contribution": -0.01971,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"h_wp_pb30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.45113425564964044,
"p_shipped": 0.505292196408567,
"model_mu": 7.118481824864689,
"market_p": 0.5115681233933163,
"divergence": -0.06043386774367582,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.3389,
"contribution": -0.26532,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2353,
"contribution": 0.18421,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1864,
"contribution": -0.14596,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1093,
"contribution": 0.08557,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"wind_miss",
"is_retract"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0758,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0543,
"contribution": 0.04249,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5154188636043763,
"p_shipped": 0.488656206140547,
"model_mu": 9.207120931198343,
"market_p": 0.4961439588688946,
"divergence": 0.019274904735481657,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2924,
"contribution": -0.26532,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2235,
"contribution": 0.20283,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.163,
"contribution": 0.14793,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_width_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1608,
"contribution": -0.14596,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1603,
"contribution": 0.14543,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"wind_out_comp",
"is_retract"
]
}
]
}
]