Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5161360220175815,
"p_shipped": 0.475900547068592,
"model_mu": 4.146547510446974,
"market_p": 0.4793814432989691,
"divergence": 0.036754578718612374,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3213,
"contribution": 0.21762,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2693,
"contribution": -0.18239,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over",
"share": 0.223,
"contribution": 0.15099,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_opener",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1222,
"contribution": -0.08274,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0642,
"contribution": -0.0435,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel",
"ump_acc_rel"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T16:30:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5234392389173379,
"p_shipped": 0.48221004676443324,
"model_mu": 5.237349519839057,
"market_p": 0.4832041343669251,
"divergence": 0.04023510455041279,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T16:30:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3425,
"contribution": 0.2314,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.27,
"contribution": -0.18239,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over",
"share": 0.2235,
"contribution": 0.15099,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_opener",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.0996,
"contribution": -0.06726,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0644,
"contribution": -0.0435,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel",
"ump_acc_rel"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.523797741043073,
"p_shipped": 0.5166158340993309,
"model_mu": 7.413545028956583,
"market_p": 0.5141388174807198,
"divergence": 0.009658923562353205,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.3161,
"contribution": -0.22494,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.294,
"contribution": 0.20927,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter an established starter (10+ starts)",
"share": 0.2151,
"contribution": 0.15306,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_bf_per_start"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0956,
"contribution": -0.06804,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_k_pct30",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.0792,
"contribution": -0.0564,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-06T16:30:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5474708813004516,
"p_shipped": 0.513238365951072,
"model_mu": 8.936325633738111,
"market_p": 0.5192802056555269,
"divergence": 0.028190675644924723,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-06T16:30:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2789,
"contribution": -0.22494,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2764,
"contribution": 0.22295,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter an established starter (10+ starts)",
"share": 0.1898,
"contribution": 0.15306,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_bf_per_start"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1705,
"contribution": 0.13753,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0844,
"contribution": -0.06804,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_k_pct30",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
}
]
}
]