Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.46675345255383816,
"p_shipped": 0.4771318427872967,
"model_mu": 4.015647272880283,
"market_p": 0.4870466321243523,
"divergence": -0.02029317957051413,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2289,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter strikes out 29% of batters, adjusted \u2014 a higher strikeout rate than average",
"share": 0.1877,
"contribution": -0.10564,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.7 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.1785,
"contribution": -0.10042,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Wind blowing out, ~4 mph net",
"share": 0.1733,
"contribution": 0.09754,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"temp_out"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1224,
"contribution": 0.06887,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_bb30",
"h_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1092,
"contribution": 0.06144,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4197366527355865,
"p_shipped": 0.5005554777340712,
"model_mu": 7.0970033274636855,
"market_p": 0.5077720207253886,
"divergence": -0.0880353679898021,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The away team allowing 5.2 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average. Priced in, and it went too far \u2014 counts toward the under",
"share": 0.2718,
"contribution": -0.20473,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30",
"a_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2619,
"contribution": -0.19725,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_b2b",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2098,
"contribution": 0.15806,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_miles7d_k",
"h_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1152,
"contribution": -0.08679,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_bb30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0788,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "Recent call-ups in both lineups",
"share": 0.0624,
"contribution": 0.04701,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_recent_debuts",
"h_recent_debuts"
]
}
]
}
]