Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.48813603247867166,
"p_shipped": 0.4815747767648142,
"model_mu": 5.316896796558565,
"market_p": 0.49081364829396334,
"divergence": -0.0026776158152916896,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 5.0,
"anchor_book": "mybookieag",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "91\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3922,
"contribution": 0.16205,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"day_game",
"roof_open"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.3117,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1536,
"contribution": 0.06347,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0525,
"contribution": -0.02171,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team striking out less than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0463,
"contribution": 0.01913,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_k30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter has thrown 468 pitches over 30 days",
"share": 0.0437,
"contribution": -0.01807,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_tto_decay",
"a_sp_days_rest_miss"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.523705849982467,
"p_shipped": 0.5072546677144926,
"model_mu": 5.736974418292101,
"market_p": 0.4987080103359174,
"divergence": 0.02499783964654967,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 5.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "90\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3047,
"contribution": 0.15472,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"day_game",
"roof_open"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run narrower than the league this past year \u2014 fewer called strikes",
"share": 0.2659,
"contribution": 0.13499,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The away starter back from a 30+ day MLB gap \u2014 established arm",
"share": 0.2617,
"contribution": -0.13285,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_return_vet",
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.125,
"contribution": 0.06347,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0428,
"contribution": -0.02171,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.6033762381605743,
"p_shipped": 0.4826282233980248,
"model_mu": 10.771046974541434,
"market_p": 0.47582697201017815,
"divergence": 0.12754926615039613,
"band": "A",
"anchor_line": 9.5,
"anchor_book": "onexbet",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T13:15:14Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "91\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3681,
"contribution": 0.23245,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"day_game",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1438,
"contribution": 0.09082,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "No pitch-tracking data for the away starter \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.135,
"contribution": 0.08526,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_sp_pitch_miss",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1256,
"contribution": 0.07929,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.094,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Both teams' bullpens worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.0782,
"contribution": 0.04938,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_b2b",
"h_bp_b2b",
"h_bp_k_pct30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team striking out less than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0552,
"contribution": 0.03486,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_k30",
"a_platoon_miss",
"h_platoon_miss"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.6849301987036434,
"p_shipped": 0.5229241169045299,
"model_mu": 11.522881946857675,
"market_p": 0.5154639175257731,
"divergence": 0.16946628117787021,
"band": "A",
"anchor_line": 9.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:14Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "push",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "90\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3041,
"contribution": 0.22682,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"day_game",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.2821,
"contribution": 0.21047,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_width_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "One driver on this card sits far outside its normal range; the model is extrapolating.",
"share": 0.1858,
"contribution": 0.1386,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_opener",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1217,
"contribution": 0.09082,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1063,
"contribution": 0.07929,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
}
]
}
]