Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5415969889540162,
"p_shipped": 0.48211173808119173,
"model_mu": 4.6904539384650885,
"market_p": 0.48195876288659806,
"divergence": 0.05963822606741814,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "88\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3892,
"contribution": 0.17036,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"roof_open",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.302,
"contribution": 0.13219,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2036,
"contribution": -0.08912,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0803,
"contribution": -0.03516,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.025,
"contribution": 0.01094,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_velo_dev"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T22:00:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5393114995814595,
"p_shipped": 0.4838611193446009,
"model_mu": 5.493655540585306,
"market_p": 0.48062015503875977,
"divergence": 0.05869134454269975,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T22:00:59Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "86\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3422,
"contribution": 0.16697,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"roof_open",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3349,
"contribution": 0.16339,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_platoon_share"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1826,
"contribution": -0.08912,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0721,
"contribution": -0.03516,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.0682,
"contribution": -0.03328,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_backup_catcher",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5866692634565366,
"p_shipped": 0.4995588176738214,
"model_mu": 8.446987517244606,
"market_p": 0.5064267352185091,
"divergence": 0.08024252823802747,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T13:15:59Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3432,
"contribution": 0.22231,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2261,
"contribution": -0.14644,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Heavy travel this week for the home team",
"share": 0.1671,
"contribution": 0.10822,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The home team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.1348,
"contribution": 0.08733,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire gives hitters the borderline call more than most",
"share": 0.1288,
"contribution": 0.0834,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_rpg_dev_sd",
"ump_width_asof"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-04T22:00:59Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5859184154920536,
"p_shipped": 0.49801959261480994,
"model_mu": 9.51598964825172,
"market_p": 0.5038560411311055,
"divergence": 0.0820623743609481,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-04T22:00:59Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3668,
"contribution": 0.24645,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.218,
"contribution": -0.14644,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Heavy travel this week for the home team",
"share": 0.1611,
"contribution": 0.10822,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "The home team's bullpen worked hard the last three days",
"share": 0.13,
"contribution": 0.08733,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire gives hitters the borderline call more than most",
"share": 0.1241,
"contribution": 0.0834,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_rpg_dev_sd",
"ump_width_asof"
]
}
]
}
]