Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4828603107484612,
"p_shipped": 0.5030068125225199,
"model_mu": 3.4641734549687877,
"market_p": 0.5142857142857141,
"divergence": -0.03142540353725293,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.3598,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate",
"share": 0.1936,
"contribution": -0.0693,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Retractable roof \u2014 state not known at grade time",
"share": 0.1723,
"contribution": 0.06167,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_retract",
"alt_kft",
"wx_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter up 1.7 mph in his last start",
"share": 0.1418,
"contribution": -0.05076,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0711,
"contribution": 0.02545,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0613,
"contribution": 0.02195,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4326924896254367,
"p_shipped": 0.5043804919605946,
"model_mu": 6.7106006189748095,
"market_p": 0.5142118863049095,
"divergence": -0.08151939667947283,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.2592,
"contribution": -0.11954,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_platoon_miss",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter up 1.7 mph in his last start",
"share": 0.1749,
"contribution": -0.08066,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1509,
"contribution": -0.0696,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1287,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "No wind reading \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1064,
"contribution": -0.04905,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"wind_miss",
"is_retract",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The away team gives up stolen bases",
"share": 0.0957,
"contribution": 0.04414,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The away team allowing 3.4 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average. Priced in, and it went too far",
"share": 0.0841,
"contribution": 0.03878,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
}
]