Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4955609091761837,
"p_shipped": 0.4780929021313365,
"model_mu": 3.7318073697278065,
"market_p": 0.4883116883116883,
"divergence": 0.007249220864495365,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over",
"share": 0.4095,
"contribution": 0.13811,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate",
"share": 0.2305,
"contribution": -0.07775,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30",
"h_wp_pb30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Strike-throwing umpire zone",
"share": 0.1605,
"contribution": -0.05411,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.0998,
"contribution": -0.03365,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0997,
"contribution": 0.03364,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T19:00:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5052275286205086,
"p_shipped": 0.5150034487179568,
"model_mu": 4.626374865895589,
"market_p": 0.5116279069767442,
"divergence": -0.0064003783562356364,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T19:00:49Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over",
"share": 0.5243,
"contribution": 0.13811,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Strike-throwing umpire zone",
"share": 0.2054,
"contribution": -0.05411,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.1403,
"contribution": -0.03696,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.069,
"contribution": -0.01818,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0609,
"contribution": 0.01604,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4202357494289837,
"p_shipped": 0.49865935847110715,
"model_mu": 6.619166586034195,
"market_p": 0.5090439276485788,
"divergence": -0.08880817821959508,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.381,
"contribution": -0.16441,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Strike-throwing umpire zone",
"share": 0.3567,
"contribution": -0.1539,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_width_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0933,
"contribution": 0.04027,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.0898,
"contribution": -0.03873,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"a_err30",
"h_err30"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "No recent call-ups in either lineup",
"share": 0.0793,
"contribution": -0.03421,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T19:00:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.42850573941177894,
"p_shipped": 0.49824448067619953,
"model_mu": 7.801482227712762,
"market_p": 0.5167095115681234,
"divergence": -0.08820377215634445,
"band": "B",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T19:00:49Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.3223,
"contribution": -0.16441,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Strike-throwing umpire zone",
"share": 0.3017,
"contribution": -0.1539,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_width_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.2211,
"contribution": 0.11276,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_retract",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.079,
"contribution": 0.04027,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.0759,
"contribution": -0.03873,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"a_err30",
"h_err30"
]
}
]
}
]