| Game | Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres · Sat 7/11 · 7:40 PM CDT |
|---|
| Type | 📈 Get in early · Strong signal |
|---|
| Why | Toronto Blue Jays are on game 8 of a long road trip. Toronto Blue Jays are playing 3 time zones from home. |
|---|
| Our price | San Diego Padres moneyline -118 (betonlineag) — flagged last night (7/10, 6:00 PM CDT) |
|---|
| Closing price | -108 |
|---|
| Result | win |
|---|
| Bovada open | -123 at 7/10, 8:30 PM CDT — 5¢ worse than our freeze |
|---|
Price improvement (our locked price vs the final price): ❌ Price moved 10¢ against us.
Track record for this situation
| factor | similar games | window |
|---|
| Deep into a road trip (game 7+) | 1222 | 2021-2024 |
| Time-zone spot (playing 2+ zones from home) | 2903 | 2021-2024 |
Posts
flag_freeze · 7/10, 6:00 PM CDT📈 GET IN EARLY — Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres, tomorrow (Sat 7/11, 7:40 PM CDT)
Why: Toronto Blue Jays are on game 8 of a long road trip. Toronto Blue Jays crossed 3 time zones this week.
Our price, locked last night: San Diego Padres moneyline -118 (frozen 7:00 PM ET)
What usually happens: in 2,903 similar games (2021-2024), the San Diego Padres price got worse for late bettors. Acting early is the whole point.
If you're betting: check your book soon — the closer your price is to -118, the better. Log what you get.
Receipt: http://localhost:8787/flags/18
Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raw engine details
| claim_type / tier / publish_tier | drift / O / public |
|---|
| market / side / line | ml / a / None |
|---|
| frozen price (decimal) | 1.85 |
|---|
| codes | MLB_SPOT_TRIP_TAIL, MLB_SPOT_TZ |
|---|
| codes_late | — |
|---|
| state | — |
|---|
| spawn | scheduled |
|---|
| close (decimal) | line None price 1.93 (betonlineag, last_snapshot) |
|---|
| realized_clv | -0.0224 |
|---|
| settled_utc | 2026-07-12T08:00:18Z |
|---|
| edge_score | — |
|---|