| Game | Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers · Sat 7/11 · 5:10 PM CDT |
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| Type | 📈 Get in early · Tracked |
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| Why | Philadelphia Phillies are on game 8 of a long road trip. |
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| Our price | Detroit Tigers moneyline +116 (betonlineag) — flagged last night (7/10, 6:00 PM CDT) |
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| Closing price | +123 |
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| Result | loss |
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| Bovada open | +116 at 7/10, 8:30 PM CDT — same as our freeze |
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Price improvement (our locked price vs the final price): ❌ Price moved 7¢ against us.
Track record for this situation
| factor | similar games | window |
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| Deep into a road trip (game 7+) | 1222 | 2021-2024 |
Posts
flag_freeze · 7/10, 6:00 PM CDT📈 GET IN EARLY — Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers, tomorrow (Sat 7/11, 5:10 PM CDT)
Why: Philadelphia Phillies are on game 8 of a long road trip.
Our price, locked last night: Detroit Tigers moneyline +116 (frozen 7:00 PM ET)
What usually happens: in 1,222 similar games (2021-2024), the Detroit Tigers price got worse for late bettors. Acting early is the whole point.
If you're betting: check your book soon — the closer your price is to +116, the better. Log what you get.
Receipt: http://localhost:8787/flags/19
Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raw engine details
| claim_type / tier / publish_tier | drift / O / record |
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| market / side / line | ml / a / None |
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| frozen price (decimal) | 2.16 |
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| codes | MLB_SPOT_TRIP_TAIL |
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| codes_late | — |
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| state | — |
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| spawn | scheduled |
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| close (decimal) | line None price 2.23 (betonlineag, last_snapshot) |
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| realized_clv | -0.0145 |
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| settled_utc | 2026-07-12T08:00:18Z |
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| edge_score | — |
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