| Game | Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants · Sat 7/11 · 3:05 PM CDT |
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| Type | 📈 Get in early · Tracked |
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| Why | Wind blowing out at 11 mph. |
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| Our price | Over 8.5 runs -112 (onexbet) — flagged 8:00 AM CDT, the moment the forecast lined up (7/11, 8:00 AM CDT) |
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| Closing price | -112 |
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| Result | loss |
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| Bovada open | -110 at 7/10, 8:30 PM CDT — 2¢ better than our freeze |
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Price improvement (our locked price vs the final price): Line moved +0.0 runs
Track record for this situation
| factor | similar games | window |
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| Wind blowing out | 897 | 2021-2024 |
Posts
flag_freeze · 7/11, 8:00 AM CDT📈 GET IN EARLY — Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants, tonight, 3:05 PM CDT
Why: Wind blowing out at 11 mph.
Our price, locked 9:00 AM ET (the moment the forecast lined up): Over 8.5 runs -112
What usually happens: in 897 similar games (2021-2024), the Over price got worse for late bettors. Acting early is the whole point.
If you're betting: check your book soon — the closer your price is to -112, the better. Log what you get.
Receipt: http://localhost:8787/flags/25
Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raw engine details
| claim_type / tier / publish_tier | drift / M / record |
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| market / side / line | total / a / 8.5 |
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| frozen price (decimal) | 1.89 |
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| codes | MLB_WX_WIND_OUT |
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| codes_late | — |
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| state | — |
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| spawn | late — ripened after tier window (state pass 2026-07-11T13:00:10Z) |
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| close (decimal) | line 8.5 price 1.89 (onexbet, last_snapshot) |
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| realized_clv | 0.0 |
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| settled_utc | 2026-07-12T08:00:18Z |
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| edge_score | — |
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