| Game | Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres · Fri 7/10 · 8:40 PM CDT |
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| Type | 📈 Get in early · Strong signal |
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| Why | Toronto Blue Jays are on game 7 of a long road trip. Toronto Blue Jays are playing 3 time zones from home. |
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| Our price | San Diego Padres moneyline -108 (onexbet) — flagged last night (7/9, 7:01 PM CDT) |
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| Closing price | -116 |
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| Result | loss |
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| Bovada open | -118 at 7/9, 9:30 PM CDT — 10¢ worse than our freeze |
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Price improvement (our locked price vs the final price): ✅ Price improved 8¢ in our favor.
Track record for this situation
| factor | similar games | window |
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| Deep into a road trip (game 7+) | 1222 | 2021-2024 |
| Time-zone spot (playing 2+ zones from home) | 2903 | 2021-2024 |
Posts
flag_freeze · 7/9, 7:01 PM CDT🛫 FLAG — Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres, 2026-07-10
Toronto Blue Jays: game 7 of the road trip.
Toronto Blue Jays: crossed -3 time zones in the past week.
Frozen at open: ML San Diego Padres (1.93, onexbet)
2026-07-09 08:01 PM ET
Historically, lines in this spot moved toward the flag by close
(toward the opponent of the flagged team, n=2903, 2021-2024).
Receipt: http://localhost:8787/flags/4
Research, not betting advice. Flags measure line movement, not guaranteed
profit. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raw engine details
| claim_type / tier / publish_tier | drift / O / public |
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| market / side / line | ml / a / None |
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| frozen price (decimal) | 1.93 |
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| codes | MLB_SPOT_TRIP_TAIL, MLB_SPOT_TZ |
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| codes_late | — |
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| state | — |
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| spawn | scheduled |
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| close (decimal) | line None price 1.86 (onexbet, last_snapshot) |
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| realized_clv | 0.0195 |
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| settled_utc | 2026-07-11T08:00:10Z |
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| edge_score | — |
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