| Game | Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Fri 9/18 · 5:40 PM CDT |
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| Type | 📈 Get in early · Tracked |
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| Why | Kansas City Royals are on game 7 of a long road trip. |
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| Our price | Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline -179 (pinnacle) — flagged last night (9/17, 9:00 PM CDT) |
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| Closing price | pending |
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| Result | pending |
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| Bovada open | -185 at 9/17, 6:00 PM CDT — 6¢ worse than our freeze |
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Price improvement (our locked price vs the final price): Not scored yet — scoring runs nightly at 2 AM.
Track record for this situation
| factor | similar games | window |
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| Deep into a road trip (game 7+) | 1222 | 2021-2024 |
Posts
flag_freeze · 9/17, 9:00 PM CDT📈 GET IN EARLY — Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates, tomorrow (Fri 9/18, 5:40 PM CDT)
Why: Kansas City Royals are on game 7 of a long road trip.
Our price, locked tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline -179 (frozen 9:00 PM CDT)
For the record: ~0.6¢ of historical price drift toward the Pittsburgh Pirates over 1,222 games (2021-2024) — tracked for the record, not a betting signal.
If you're betting: check your book soon — the closer your price is to -179, the better. Log what you get.
Receipt: http://localhost:8787/flags/504
Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raw engine details
| claim_type / tier / publish_tier | drift / O / record |
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| market / side / line | ml / a / None |
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| frozen price (decimal) | 1.56 |
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| codes | MLB_SPOT_TRIP_TAIL |
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| codes_late | — |
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| state | — |
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| spawn | scheduled |
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| close (decimal) | line None price None (None, None) |
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| realized_clv | — |
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| settled_utc | — |
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| edge_score | — |
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