You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
PRE-GAME LIVE FINAL
Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Sun 9/13 · 12:35 PM CDT · Nationals Park
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 4 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Todd Tichenor (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB% PRICED under ~100 BF this season Riley Cornelio 44.4/0.0 · Grayson Rodriguez 20.3/10.0
MARKET ANCHOR PRICED tonight's line 5.0 vs 5 typical at Nationals Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30) PRICED home 23.4 · away 25.2
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +1 since the grade (anchor 9.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
— OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Los Angeles Angels 5 Washington Nationals 6 FINAL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R LAA 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 5 WSH 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 — 6
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 2 · WON
no lean Over 9.5 runs · landed 11 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 47% over · market 49%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 47% under · market 48%
Model fit 2021–2025 (leave-one-season-out) · grades logged before first pitch — the prospective record is the credential · no grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.