You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals
Fri 9/11 · 5:45 PM CDT · Nationals Park
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Clint Vondrak (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Cade Cavalli 27.9/6.9 · Yusei Kikuchi 22.7/8.8
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 5 typical at Nationals Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 23.1 · away 25.4
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -1 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
LAA
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
WSH
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Los Angeles Angels3Washington Nationals4FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
LAA
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
WSH
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
—
4
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 2 · WON
B Under 7.5 runs · landed 7 · WON
TOTAL · UNDER 7.5 RUNS
B
B cards like this have won 52% under · market 49% · stake 0.5u