You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals
Sat 9/12 · 3:05 PM CDT · Nationals Park
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 5 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Steven Jaschinski (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Andrew Alvarez 21.7/11.4 · Walbert Ureña 22.7/11.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.5 vs 5 typical at Nationals Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 23.3 · away 25.4
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +3.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
LAA
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
WSH
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Los Angeles Angels5Washington Nationals6FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
R
LAA
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
5
WSH
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 4 · WON
B Under 8.0 runs · landed 11 · LOST
TOTAL · UNDER 8.0 RUNS
B
B cards like this have won 52% under · market 48% · stake 0.5u