You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 1 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Dexter Kelley (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: FALSE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonBrad Lord 17.9/17.9 · Grant Holmes 18.4/10.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5 typical at Nationals Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.9 · away 23.1
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -5.1% (n=193) vs 10.1% (n=421) in the favorable branch.
Conditions have changed since the grade (temp 91.8→88°F) — the frozen grade and reasoning predate this.
The f5_total line has moved -3.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Atlanta Braves9Washington Nationals0FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 0 · LOST
no lean Under 9.5 runs · landed 9 · WON