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You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

Tue 9/1 · 5:45 PM CDT · Nationals Park
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 5.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 0 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Ramon De Jesus (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE
Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: FALSE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season
Jake Irvin 22.7/10.8 · AJ Smith-Shawver 15.9/12.7
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 5.5 vs 5 typical at Nationals Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 22.6 · away 22.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -5.1% (n=193) vs 10.1% (n=421) in the favorable branch.
Conditions have changed since the grade (temp 93.1→87.1°F) — the frozen grade and reasoning predate this.
The f5_total line has moved +3 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5.5).
The total line has moved +4.5 since the grade (anchor 10).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
ATL
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
WSH
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Atlanta Braves5Washington Nationals9FINAL
123456789R
ATL0110000305
WSH04100121—9
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 5.5 · landed 7 · LOST
no lean Over 10.0 runs · landed 14 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 45% over · market 48%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 50% under · market 51%