You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 1 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Jeremie Rehak (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJosé Soriano 22.6/10.4 · Troy Melton 20.0/6.9
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Rogers Centre this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 17.5 · away 24.1
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported open before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -0.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +4 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Detroit Tigers6Toronto Blue Jays5FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
|---|
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 2 · WON
no lean Under 7.5 runs · landed 11 · LOST