SPOTTER.
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You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

Fri 9/18 · 7:05 PM CDT · Globe Life Field
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Ben May (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE
Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season
Tyler Alexander 27.8/5.6 · Sonny Gray 22.0/6.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4 typical at Globe Life Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 22.9 · away 20.9
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -0.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
BOS
4
BOT 9 · 3 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-18T03:09:25Z ·
TEX
3
AT BAT
Jake Burger
season line pending
PITCHING
Garrett Whitlock
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
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BOS0000001304
TEX1200000003
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Boston Red Sox4Texas Rangers3FINAL
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BOS0000001304
TEX1200000003
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 3 · WON
no lean Over 8.0 runs · landed 7 · LOST
TOTAL
no lean
model 50% over · market 49%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 47% under · market 47%