You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 7.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Derek Thomas (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDMacKenzie Gore 25.5/9.0 · Ian Seymour 33.5/4.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 7.5 vs 8 typical at Globe Life Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.7 · away 16.3
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDMacKenzie Gore 25.5/9.0 · Ian Seymour 33.5/4.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4 typical at Globe Life Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.7 · away 16.3
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved +4.5 since the grade (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +7 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 7.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Tampa Bay Rays6Texas Rangers8FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TB | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
| TEX | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 8 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 12 · LOST
C Under 7.5 runs · landed 14 · LOST