SPOTTER.
You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

Wed 9/16 · 7:05 PM CDT · Globe Life Field
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 0 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Tripp Gibson (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE
Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Jacob deGrom 30.9/6.3 · Patrick Sandoval 22.5/10.7
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4 typical at Globe Life Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 22.7 · away 20.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved +2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
BOS
2
TOP 9 · 3 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-16T03:08:24Z ·
TEX
4
AT BAT
Jahmai Jones
season line pending
PITCHING
Jacob Latz
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
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BOS0020000002
TEX040000004
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Boston Red Sox2Texas Rangers4FINAL
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BOS0020000002
TEX040000004
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 6 · LOST
no lean Under 7.5 runs · landed 6 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 49% under · market 48%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 52% under · market 51%