SPOTTER.
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You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

Thu 9/17 · 12:10 PM CDT · Tropicana Field
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 2 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Jim Wolf (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE
K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Drew Rasmussen 25.6/4.3 · Jeffrey Springs 17.7/9.1
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.5 vs 4 typical at Tropicana Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 16.8 · away 21.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +4 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
ATH
1
TOP 9 · 3 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-17T19:58:25Z ·
TB
10
AT BAT
Jonah Heim
season line pending
PITCHING
Alex Cook
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
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ATH0000010001
TB00060202—10
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Athletics1Tampa Bay Rays10FINAL
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ATH0000010001
TB00060202—10
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 6 · LOST
no lean Under 7.5 runs · landed 11 · LOST
TOTAL
no lean
model 49% under · market 48%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 54% under · market 53%