Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

Tue 9/15 · 5:40 PM CDT · Tropicana Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Alex MacKay (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Griffin Jax 25.2/7.0 · Jack Perkins 24.7/10.7

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4 typical at Tropicana Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 15.9 · away 20.8

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved -4.5 since the grade (anchor 8).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

ATH

BOT 9 · 0 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-16T00:57:24Z ·

AT BAT

Junior Caminero

season line pending

PITCHING

Elvis Alvarado

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
TB	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Athletics1Tampa Bay Rays2FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
TB	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 1 · LOST

C Over 8.0 runs · landed 3 · LOST

TOTAL · OVER 8.0 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 50%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 46%