Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

Wed 9/16 · 5:40 PM CDT · Tropicana Field

THE EDGE

B-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Alan Porter (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Nick Martinez 14.8/3.6 · Brady Basso 18.5/5.6

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4 typical at Tropicana Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 16.6 · away 21.3

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +3.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade (anchor 8).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

ATH

TOP 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-17T01:09:25Z ·

AT BAT

Tommy White

season line pending

PITCHING

Cole Sulser

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
TB	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	4

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Athletics3Tampa Bay Rays4FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
TB	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	4

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

B First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 6 · WON

C Over 8.0 runs · landed 7 · LOST

TOTAL · OVER 8.0 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 50%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5

B cards like this have won 49% over · market 48%