You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 4 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Jacob Metz (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonDrew Rasmussen 26.1/4.5 · Miguel Ullola —/—
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4 typical at Tropicana Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 15.8 · away 23.0
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -6.2% (n=446) vs 8.8% (n=358) in the favorable branch.
The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -4 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Houston Astros1Tampa Bay Rays3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed 2 · LOST
no lean Over 7.5 runs · landed 4 · LOST