Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals

Sat 9/19 · 7:15 PM CDT · Busch Stadium

THE EDGE

no lean-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. A validated close edge is in play here.

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Kyle Leahy 22.5/6.7 · Cade Cavalli 28.2/7.0

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Busch Stadium this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 22.2 · away 23.5

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Home-plate umpire not confirmed — profile-based reads are provisional.

Lineups not posted at grade time.

Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -5.1% (n=193) vs 10.1% (n=421) in the favorable branch.

The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

WSH

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· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

STL

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AT BAT

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season line pending

PITCHING

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no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Final state renders once the game completes.

TOTAL

no lean

model 50% over · market 52%

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 51% over · market 53%