Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5538813057340664,
"p_shipped": 0.5133196037328434,
"model_mu": 4.343616065026326,
"market_p": 0.5259067357512953,
"divergence": 0.027974569982771036,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "92\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3195,
"contribution": 0.1699,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2422,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over",
"share": 0.2232,
"contribution": 0.11867,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Both teams below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1213,
"contribution": -0.06449,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0516,
"contribution": 0.02742,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_tto_decay"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The away team's catcher loses strikes on close pitches",
"share": 0.0422,
"contribution": 0.02246,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30",
"h_framing_miss"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5450942000493444,
"p_shipped": 0.5007579200114233,
"model_mu": 7.981001854784608,
"market_p": 0.5154639175257731,
"divergence": 0.02963028252357125,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 5.7 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 above league average",
"share": 0.2961,
"contribution": 0.18561,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_rs30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "92\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.1775,
"contribution": 0.11125,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"wind_out_comp",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "Recent call-ups in both lineups",
"share": 0.1393,
"contribution": 0.08733,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Both teams below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.13,
"contribution": -0.08146,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the home team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1111,
"contribution": -0.06966,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"h_framing_miss",
"a_cat_framing_prior",
"a_wp_pb30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0947,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0513,
"contribution": 0.03216,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_pitches_3d"
]
}
]
}
]