You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals
Sun 9/13 · 1:15 PM CDT · Busch Stadium
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 1 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Mike Estabrook (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonMichael McGreevy 16.7/6.6 · David Sandlin 21.9/10.9
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Busch Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.1 · away 24.1
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -4 since the grade (anchor 8.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Chicago White Sox1St. Louis Cardinals3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| CWS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 1 · LOST
no lean Over 8.5 runs · landed 4 · LOST
TOTAL
no lean
model 51% over · market 53%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 49% over · market 48%