You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres
Sun 9/20 · 7:40 PM CDT · Petco Park
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 0 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Tripp Gibson (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Casey Mize 21.0/6.1 · Eury Pérez 25.7/10.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Petco Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 20.3 · away 22.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +6.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +6 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
MIA
5
TOP 4 · 1 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-20T02:04:32Z · thru AB 38
SD
4
AT BAT
Heriberto Hernández
K% 27.1 · BB% 10.0 (469 PA) · bats R
1st time through the order
PITCHING
Randy Vásquez
FB tonight 94.9▼0.2 vs norm
13 pitches · 2 batters faced
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
last pitch: FF · 95.2 mph
zone as sized for this batter
ballcalled strikeswing/foulin play
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
accuracy 97.6% over 85 takes · his season accuracy 93.5%
LAST PLAY
Otto Lopez lines out to shortstop Jake Cronenworth.
1
2
3
4
R
MIA
0
3
2
—
5
SD
0
1
3
—
4
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game