Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
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"model_mu": 4.156721821640265,
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"divergence": 0.016497254056177857,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2783,
"contribution": 0.07837,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.6 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.2722,
"contribution": -0.07664,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2558,
"contribution": 0.07204,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0806,
"contribution": -0.02269,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0665,
"contribution": 0.01872,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0467,
"contribution": 0.01315,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T23:30:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5255646382283162,
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"model_mu": 4.779282371136995,
"market_p": 0.5257731958762887,
"divergence": -0.00020855764797245158,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T23:30:21Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No 2025 record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away catcher \u2014 graded at league average",
"share": 0.2829,
"contribution": 0.07837,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.6 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.2767,
"contribution": -0.07664,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"h_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2601,
"contribution": 0.07204,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0852,
"contribution": -0.02359,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_platoon_share",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.0819,
"contribution": -0.02269,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_edge_cs_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Park & environment leans over",
"share": 0.0132,
"contribution": 0.00366,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp",
"alt_kft"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5193699088771803,
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"model_mu": 7.169442814068541,
"market_p": 0.4845360824742268,
"divergence": 0.03483382640295346,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3218,
"contribution": 0.1881,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_inn1_whiff",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.6 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.2905,
"contribution": -0.16981,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1861,
"contribution": 0.10879,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1484,
"contribution": -0.08672,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.0531,
"contribution": -0.03105,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"h_err30",
"a_err30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T23:30:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5142823567281184,
"p_shipped": 0.4869057171774802,
"model_mu": 8.010814279495579,
"market_p": 0.49484536082474223,
"divergence": 0.019436995903376164,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T23:30:21Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3141,
"contribution": 0.1881,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_sp_inn1_whiff",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "The home team allowing 3.6 runs a game, last 30 \u2014 below league average",
"share": 0.2836,
"contribution": -0.16981,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"a_ra30",
"a_rs30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1817,
"contribution": 0.10879,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1688,
"contribution": -0.10112,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "The away team's defense sure-handed",
"share": 0.0519,
"contribution": -0.03105,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_unearned30",
"h_err30",
"a_err30"
]
}
]
}
]