You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
Wed 9/9 · 3:10 PM CDT · Petco Park
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Mike Muchlinski (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDWalker Buehler 20.3/8.9 · Jackson Kent 18.8/17.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Petco Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 20.2 · away 23.4
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +3 since the grade (anchor 8.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Washington Nationals2San Diego Padres9FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — | 9 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 9 · WON
no lean Under 8.5 runs · landed 11 · LOST
TOTAL
no lean
model 50% under · market 48%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 47% over · market 47%