You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
Sat 9/5 · 6:15 PM CDT · Petco Park
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 9 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Alex MacKay (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDRobbie Ray 19.7/11.9 · Carlos Rodón 25.5/12.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Petco Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 20.3 · away 26.4
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
New York Yankees5San Diego Padres1FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| NYY | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 6 · WON
no lean Under 7.5 runs · landed 6 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 51% under · market 49%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5
B
B cards like this have won 49% over · market 47%