You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Chad Whitson (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDBubba Chandler 20.3/11.9 · Noah Cameron 21.1/7.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at PNC Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.7 · away 19.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +3.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Kansas City Royals—Pittsburgh Pirates—FINAL
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed — · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS
no lean Under 8.0 runs · landed — · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS