Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Thu 9/17 · 11:35 AM CDT · PNC Park

THE EDGE

B-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire James Hoye (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Wilber Dotel 10.0/0.0 · Kyle Harrison 28.5/7.0

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at PNC Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 23.6 · away 21.9

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved +2.5 since the grade (anchor 9).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

MIL

TOP 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-17T19:34:25Z ·

PIT

AT BAT

Joey Ortiz

season line pending

PITCHING

Mason Montgomery

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4
PIT	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	—	7

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Milwaukee Brewers4Pittsburgh Pirates7FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4
PIT	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	—	7

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

B First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 6 · LOST

C Under 9.0 runs · landed 11 · LOST

TOTAL · UNDER 9.0 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% under · market 53%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 4.5

B cards like this have won 49% under · market 48%