Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Sat 9/5 · 5:40 PM CDT · PNC Park

THE EDGE

B-grade Under 7.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 12 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Vic Carapazza (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Braxton Ashcraft 25.4/5.4 · Yusei Kikuchi 22.4/8.3

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 7.5 vs 8.5 typical at PNC Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 26.7 · away 25.8

BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICED

home 214p/3d (b2b 1) · away 97p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Brandon Eisert, José Fermin, Khristian Curtis, Luke Weaver

CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Braxton Ashcraft 25.4/5.4 · Yusei Kikuchi 22.4/8.3

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at PNC Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 26.7 · away 25.8

F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade (anchor 4).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

LAA

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

PIT

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Los Angeles Angels6Pittsburgh Pirates1FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	6
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 3 · WON

B Under 7.5 runs · landed 7 · WON

TOTAL · UNDER 7.5 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% under · market 49% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 52% under · market 50%