You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 7 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 8 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Hunter Wendelstedt (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDPaul Skenes 28.9/7.1 · Walbert Ureña 23.1/12.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 7.0 vs 8.5 typical at PNC Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 26.3 · away 25.7
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 224p/3d (b2b 0) · away 83p/3d (b2b 1) · recent arms: Isaac Mattson, José Fermin, Luke Murphy, Mason Montgomery
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDPaul Skenes 28.9/7.1 · Walbert Ureña 23.1/12.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 3.5 vs 4.5 typical at PNC Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 26.3 · away 25.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 3.5).
The total line has moved -5.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 7).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Los Angeles Angels0Pittsburgh Pirates1FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 3.5 · landed 1 · WON
C Under 7.0 runs · landed 1 · WON