You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Tue 9/1 · 5:40 PM CDT · PNC Park
THE EDGE
A-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 18 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Todd Tichenor (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Paul Skenes 29.5/6.9 · Logan Webb 19.6/6.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at PNC Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 26.3 · away 22.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +13.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +18 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
SF
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
PIT
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
San Francisco Giants12Pittsburgh Pirates13FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
SF
0
5
0
0
0
2
0
5
0
12
PIT
2
0
9
0
0
0
1
0
1
13
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
A First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed 16 · WON
no lean Over 7.5 runs · landed 25 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 49% over · market 50%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.0
A
A cards like this have won 55% over · market 47% · stake 1u