Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-01T13:15:03Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 16,
"feature_version": 2,
"model_p": 0.5491876309073547,
"p_shipped": 0.46151370843503114,
"model_mu": 4.247741913231471,
"market_p": 0.4742268041237113,
"divergence": 0.07496082678364335,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-01T13:15:03Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "88\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.3683,
"contribution": 0.26373,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire tendency history \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.352,
"contribution": -0.25203,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away team \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1068,
"contribution": 0.07648,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0688,
"contribution": -0.04928,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0569,
"contribution": 0.04075,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0472,
"contribution": 0.03381,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-01T21:30:25Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 16,
"feature_version": 2,
"model_p": 0.6501836984392771,
"p_shipped": 0.4670481007645482,
"model_mu": 5.330301061854139,
"market_p": 0.46649484536082475,
"divergence": 0.1836888530784524,
"band": "A",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-01T21:30:25Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "86\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.4056,
"contribution": 0.25883,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Hitter-friendly umpire zone",
"share": 0.2776,
"contribution": 0.17715,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_k_dev_sd",
"ump_width_asof",
"ump_edge_cs_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "No 2025 record of strikes gained behind the plate for the away catcher \u2014 graded at league average",
"share": 0.1199,
"contribution": 0.07648,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"a_framing_miss",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0801,
"contribution": -0.0511,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0639,
"contribution": 0.04075,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.053,
"contribution": 0.03381,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-01T13:38:13Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 12,
"feature_version": 2,
"model_p": 0.4970139407768043,
"p_shipped": 0.503522465663864,
"model_mu": 7.383349656914153,
"market_p": 0.5115681233933163,
"divergence": -0.01455418261651198,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-01T13:38:13Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "lost",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.374,
"contribution": -0.24322,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "88\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.2331,
"contribution": 0.15161,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"wind_out_comp",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1186,
"contribution": 0.07716,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.098,
"contribution": -0.06373,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0913,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0849,
"contribution": 0.05524,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_b2b"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-01T21:30:25Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 12,
"feature_version": 2,
"model_p": 0.5243262961954802,
"p_shipped": 0.4901371599806003,
"model_mu": 8.422497012287781,
"market_p": 0.5,
"divergence": 0.024326296195480213,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-01T21:30:25Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.4115,
"contribution": -0.23835,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_k30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "86\u00b0F \u2014 heat carries the ball",
"share": 0.25,
"contribution": 0.14482,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"temp_out",
"wind_out_comp",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1332,
"contribution": 0.07716,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_pitches_30d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.11,
"contribution": -0.06373,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rest0",
"a_tz2",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.0954,
"contribution": 0.05524,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"a_bp_b2b"
]
}
]
}
]