You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 8 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 6 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Lance Barrett (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDGerrit Cole 24.9/4.9 · Zach Thornton 19.1/5.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.0 vs 8 typical at Yankee Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 24.8 · away 21.7
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 206p/3d (b2b 1) · away 162p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Brent Headrick, David Bednar, Jack Weisenburger, John Schreiber
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDGerrit Cole 24.9/4.9 · Zach Thornton 19.1/5.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Yankee Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 24.8 · away 21.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +6.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
New York Mets12New York Yankees2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| NYM | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 6 · LOST
C Under 8.0 runs · landed 14 · LOST