You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Sat 9/19 · 3:10 PM CDT · Citi Field
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Quinn Wolcott (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Christian Scott 28.0/10.2 · Andrew Painter 19.4/8.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Citi Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 21.1 · away 17.7
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The total line has moved +5.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
PHI
3
TOP 9 · 3 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-19T23:33:25Z ·
NYM
10
AT BAT
Luis Arraez
season line pending
PITCHING
Tobias Myers
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
PHI
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
NYM
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
4
—
10
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Philadelphia Phillies3New York Mets10FINAL
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed — · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS
no lean Under 8.0 runs · landed 13 · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS