SPOTTER.
You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

Fri 9/18 · 6:15 PM CDT · Citi Field
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 1 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Paul Clemons (inferred).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Zach Thornton 18.8/5.5 · Andrew Painter 19.4/8.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Citi Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 21.5 · away 17.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Home-plate umpire not confirmed — profile-based reads are provisional.
Lineups not posted at grade time.
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
PHI
· OUT
B S OUT
updated ·
NYM
AT BAT
season line pending
PITCHING
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Final state renders once the game completes.
TOTAL
no lean
model 48% under · market 50%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 51% under · market 51%